Scotland’s job creation hit 16-month high in September

Job creation in Scotland hit a 16-month high in September, according to the latest Royal Bank of Scotland Growth Tracker.

“Scotland recorded growth in activity for the ninth consecutive month during September,” said the report.

“However, the headline Business Activity Index fell to 51.2, from 52.7 in August. The rate of increase was the weakest in the aforementioned sequence, owing to cooling growth in the services sector. However, the negative impact from manufacturing nearly disappeared, as output fell only fractionally. Modest growth in output was supported by a sustained, albeit mild increase in new business …

“Nevertheless, the labour market remained a strong point for the Scottish private sector,” said the report.

“Outstripping the UK-wide average, the rate of job creation hit a 16-month high and signalled a sharp rise in staffing levels.

“Growth was driven by services firms as manufacturing employment was broadly stable.”

Judith Cruickshank, Chair, Scotland Board, Royal Bank of Scotland, said: “Scotland wrapped up the third quarter on a positive note. Sustained growth in new business inflows enabled firms to increase their activity levels, although the pace of growth slowed.

“Notably, hiring activity surged, with job creation reaching its highest level since May 2023. Expansions in new business, activity, and employment were driven by service firms, while manufacturers experienced broadly stable output and jobs but a sharp fall in new orders.

“The steeper decline in factory orders indicates more challenges for the Scottish manufacturing sector in the coming months.

“The uncertain political and economic landscape will also act as headwinds to growth, leading the Scottish private sector to increasingly depend on its service firms to drive the economy forward in the coming year.

“However, price pressures remained on an easing path, with cost burdens rising at the weakest pace in 43 months.”

The report added: “Scottish private sector firms recorded a twentieth successive monthly rise in employment, and one which was the most pronounced since May 2023.

“Job creation remained centred at service firms, which reported that rising business demands and expectations of increased workloads prompted them to hire more staff. Furthermore, the ongoing downturn in manufacturing broadly stabilised. The rate of employment growth in Scotland exceeded that observed for the UK as a whole.”