NatWest-RBS to pay £1.75bn special dividend

NatWest-RBS CEO Alison Rose

Shares of NatWest Group, formerly the Royal Bank of Scotland Group, rose as much as 9% on Friday after it announced it would pay an interim dividend of 3.5p per share and a special dividend “with share consolidation” of £1.75 billion, equivalent to 16.8p per share.

NatWest said its operating profit before tax rose 13% to £2.6 billion for the six months to June 30, 2022, ahead of analyst forecasts.

The bank said customer deposits increased £14.8 billion in the first half to £476.2 billon.

“When combined with the directed buyback in the first quarter, the proposed interim and special dividends bring total distributions deducted from capital in the first half to £3.3 billion, or c.32 pence per share …” said NatWest.

“The special dividend will return material capital to shareholders whilst ensuring the UK Government’s shareholding remains below 50%, which the board has determined is the interests of all the group’s stakeholders.

“The proposed consolidation will be set to reduce the share count as if we were buying back at the market price thereby offsetting the dilutive impact to TNAV (tangible net asset value) per share of the substantial special dividend.”

NatWest raised its full-year revenue forecast to around £12.5 billion, up from a previous estimate of more than £11 billion.

NatWest Group CEO chief executive Alison Rose said: “NatWest Group delivered a strong performance in the first half of 2022, building on two years of progress against our strategic priorities.

“We are growing our lending to customers and continuing our £3 billion investment programme to create a simpler and better banking experience whilst delivering sustainable dividends and returns for our shareholders.

We know that continued increases in the cost of living are impacting people, families and businesses across the UK and we have put in place a range of targeted measures to support those who are likely to need it most.

“Our strong levels of profitability and capital generation mean we are well positioned to provide this support.”

Richard Hunter, head of markets at Interactive Investor, said: “NatWest’s continued progress has left the bank awash with cash, which has resulted in a bumper return for shareholders.

“The interim dividend increase takes the ordinary projected yield to 4.8%, and with the special dividend of 16.8 per share, the yield is turbocharged to around 12%.

“In addition, the bank intends to continue this elevated level of returns while not discounting further share buybacks or even acquisition opportunities should they arise.

“Coupled with the intention further to reduce the government stake of 48%, there is much demand on the bank’s capital, which it is comfortably able to provide at these levels.

“Quite apart from the strength of the capital position, NatWest has also distanced itself from its peers by announcing a net release of £18 million for the half-year (or £46 million in the so-called “Go-Forward Group”), at a time when the other UK banks are returning to impairment provisions given a weakening economic outlook.

“NatWest, for its part, maintains that there are no emerging signs of stress among its customers, who are generally continuing to build individual war chests ahead of what could be a tough winter.

“At the same time, loan growth of 2.6% to £9 billion has been largely propelled by further growth in retail mortgages, despite headlines which might have been suggesting otherwise over recent months.

“Alongside a generally rising interest rate environment, traditionally positive for the banks, the Net Interest Margin has made more progress and currently stands at 2.72%, up from 2.46% in the previous quarter.

“Most of the other key metrics are also driving ahead, with revenues and profits ahead of expectations.

“Half-year operating profit rose by 31%, underpinned by income growth of 16%, while Net Interest Income increased by 15%.

“The strength of the balance sheet has enabled today’s announced largesse, with a capital cushion of 14.3% and a Liquidity Coverage Ratio of 159%.

“The cost/income ratio has also markedly improved to 58% from 68% despite the distributions and planned further investment into the group’s development.

“Another metric which separates NatWest so far is a Return on Tangible Equity figure which has increased over the period to 13.1% from a previous 11.7%.

“In terms of outlook, the figure is expected to increase further to between 14% and 16%, with the NIM and CET1 ratio expected to stay at current levels.

“Amid all the progress, there are some challenges on the near horizon, not least of which is the potential for further UK economic deterioration.

“NatWest remains committed to keeping close to any worsening trends, however, and in the meantime continues to increase prudent lending against the backdrop of a robust balance sheet.

“The government stake will continue to overhang the shares, although the direction of travel is becoming established in reducing the 48% holding further.

“The elements which have differentiated NatWest from its peers have also been reflected in a uniquely positive share price performance, as evidenced by numbers which have clearly delighted investors.

“Even prior to today’s surge, the price had risen by 14% over the last year, as compared to a gain of 3.8% for the wider FTSE100.

“Nor has this return diminished investor appetite, with the market consensus of the shares not only remaining at a strong buy but also maintaining the position of NatWest as the preferred play in the sector.”

 

About the Author

Mark McSherry
Dalriada Media LLC sites are edited by veteran news journalist Mark McSherry, a former staff editor and reporter with Reuters, Bloomberg and major newspapers including the South China Morning Post, London's Sunday Times and The Scotsman. McSherry's journalism has also appeared in The Washington Post, The Guardian, The Independent, The New York Times, London's Evening Standard and Forbes. McSherry is also a professor of journalism and communication arts in universities and colleges in New York City. Scottish-born McSherry has an MBA from the University of Edinburgh and a Certificate in Global Affairs from New York University.