Commercial property investment fell 42% to £1.2bn

150 Broomielaw, Glasgow

Investment in Scottish commercial property fell about 42% to £1.2 billion in 2020 — from £2.074 billion in 2019 — as lockdown measures and economic uncertainty curbed deal-making, but Scotland proved its resilience as the most popular UK destination for overseas investment outside the London area.

Office deals in Scotland dropped from £759 million in 2019 to £347 million in 2020.

Analysis from commercial property consultancy Knight Frank found that international investors accounted for £654 million of investment in Scotland’s commercial property last year – about 52% of the total figure.

Excluding London and the South East of England, which make up the lion’s share of overseas property investment in the UK, Scotland represented 21% of investment by overseas investors.

The £1.2 billion figure was buoyed by several significant transactions, including the £65 million acquisition of Amazon’s Dunfermline fulfilment centre – the largest-ever logistics deal in Scotland – as well as Apache Capital Partners and Harrison Street’s £215 million funding of the Springside build-to-rent scheme in Edinburgh.

In the offices sector, German fund KanAm bought Edinburgh’s Quartermile 3 for around £45 million, while Singapore-based Elite Partners Capital acquired 150 Broomielaw in Glasgow for £40 million.

Alasdair Steele, head of Scotland commercial at Knight Frank, said: “Given the unprecedented nature of 2020 and the many barriers that emerged to making deals happen, last year’s investment volumes in Scotland proved resilient.

“A number of trends took hold relatively early during the pandemic and were borne out as it evolved, namely a flight to quality stock and the rise of the industrial and logistics sector, which you can see in the major Scottish deals concluded last year.

“While activity is likely to be constrained early in the year with lockdown measures still in place, there remains a weight of money waiting to be deployed by investors.

“We expect that to support a rebound when vaccination programmes are more widely rolled out and restrictions on movement begin to lift, with deals already being talked about for later in 2021.

“Of course, the situation is changing all the time, but we continue to be cautiously optimistic.

“Quality offices, along with the industrial and logistics sectors, were in demand throughout the pandemic and that looks likely to remain the case. So too does Scotland’s attractiveness to overseas investors and the insatiable appetite for secure, long-term income, which commercial property can provide.”

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Mark McSherry
Dalriada Media LLC sites are edited by veteran news journalist Mark McSherry, a former staff editor and reporter with Reuters, Bloomberg and major newspapers including the South China Morning Post, London's Sunday Times and The Scotsman. McSherry's journalism has also appeared in The Washington Post, The Guardian, The Independent, The New York Times, London's Evening Standard and Forbes. McSherry is also a professor of journalism and communication arts in universities and colleges in New York City. Scottish-born McSherry has an MBA from the University of Edinburgh and a Certificate in Global Affairs from New York University.