UK gas production ‘will fall 75% without investment’

Deirdre Michie

OGUK, which represents the UK’s offshore oil and gas industry, has warned that UK gas production will fall 75% by 2030 without new investment.

OGUK warned the UK is increasingly reliant on imports.

It said that in 2020 the UK consumed 74 billion cubic metres of gas – about 1,100 cubic metres per person.

Half of that had to be imported from other countries including Norway, Qatar Russia, Trinidad and Tobago, Egypt and Nigeria.

“The global gas shortage that sent prices surging again this week is a powerful reminder of the UK’s need to maintain its own North Sea supplies …” said OGUK.

“On Tuesday wholesale gas prices soared 37% in one day, hitting £4 per therm in short-term global markets (equivalent to £1.41 per cubic metre). This is a 700% increase compared with more typical levels at the start of 2021

“Factors causing the latest surge include Russia making a 70% reduction in the amount of gas delivered to the EU via its Belarussian pipelines, plus surging global demand for Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) shipments, especially from Asia.

“The UK’s own gas fields in the North Sea and Irish Sea have served the nation well – but their output is falling, partly because too few new fields have been developed.

From self-sufficiency in 2004 the UK can now meet only half its own gas needs …

“OGUK’s Energy Transition Outlook, to be published later this month, will warn that such reliance will increase – unless the UK invests in the new resources known to lie under its continental shelf.

“Without such investment UK gas output will plummet another 75% by 2030.”

OGUK CEO Deirdre Michie said: “The gas resources off our own shores can boost our energy security and protect jobs.

“The UK industry’s own greenhouse gas emissions, generated during production from these new fields, would also be a lot lower than those generated by liquefied natural gas imports.

“The UK, and our industry are on a journey to achieve net zero emissions by 2050.

“We fully support this goal but 23m UK homes are still heated by gas which also generates 40% of our electricity, so we will need gas to power us through this green transition.

“It would be far better to get as much of that gas as possible from sources we can control rather than rely on other countries.”

About the Author

Mark McSherry
Dalriada Media LLC sites are edited by veteran news journalist Mark McSherry, a former staff editor and reporter with Reuters, Bloomberg and major newspapers including the South China Morning Post, London's Sunday Times and The Scotsman. McSherry's journalism has also appeared in The Washington Post, The Guardian, The Independent, The New York Times, London's Evening Standard and Forbes. McSherry is also a professor of journalism and communication arts in universities and colleges in New York City. Scottish-born McSherry has an MBA from the University of Edinburgh and a Certificate in Global Affairs from New York University.